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Forex Flash: EUR/USD, above 1.3310 a 1.3792 -1.4248/59 favoured - JPMorgan

EUR/USD remains positive but given structures still inherit an undeniable reversal risk, says Niall O'Connor, FX strategist at JPMorgan.

"The various wave counts in EUR/USD are also reflecting this mixed picture which remains mildly bullish though as long as key-support at 1.3310/1.3257 (int. 38.2 %/last low) is defended" Niall notes.

Above, "a straight extension to higher T junctions at 1.3792 (C = A) and at 1.4248/59 (former high/int. 76.4 %) is still favored whereas a break below 1.3257 would ring the alarm bell" the analyst adds.

For a complete reversal of the up-trend, Niall says "EUR/USD needs to break below support at 1.3172/27 (assumed wave 1 tops)."

Gold tumbles below $1650 and 200 day SMA

With gold's Feb futures contract already expired and now looking at April's one next, the precious metal has tumbled today a -1.14% since previous weekly close Friday, or $20 cheaper, from the $1667 mark it dealt all past week long, making a doji candle in its weekly chart. Breaks at the same time below 200 day SMA last at $1664, while trading at the moment at $1648, off fresh 5-week lows at $1643.
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Australia Jan National Australia Bank's Business Confidence 3

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