NZD/USD: Extra gains comes on a close above 0.6410 – UOB

In the opinion of UOB Group’s Economist Lee Sue Ann and Markets Strategist Quek Ser Leang, further upside is expected once NZD/USD leaves behind the 0.6410 level.

Key Quotes

24-hour view: “While we expected ‘the rally in NZD to extend’ yesterday, we held the view that ‘the major resistance at 0.6410 is unlikely to come under threat’. However, NZD edged one pip above 0.6410 (high of 0.6411) before pulling back. Upward momentum is slowing and this coupled with still overbought conditions suggests NZD is likely to trade sideways. The expected range for today is 0.6330/0.6405.”

Next 1-3 weeks: “We highlighted yesterday (09 Jan, spot at 0.6350) that the risk for NZD has shifted to the upside but it must clear 0.6410 before further gains are likely. NZD subsequently rose to a high of 0.6411. Our view remains unchanged, as there is no clear break of 0.6410. On the downside, a breach of 0.6285 (‘strong support’ level was at 0.6250 yesterday) would indicate that the upside risk has subsided.”